After years of dominating the Chinese market, has the iPhone finally lost its shine in China?

Tuesday: Return Driven Strategy

FROM THE DESK OF MILES EVERSON:

Hi!

Welcome to today’s edition of “Return Driven Strategy (RDS).” I’m excited to share with you another business insight in this article.

For those of you who are not yet familiar with this, RDS is a pyramid-shaped framework with 11 tenets and 3 foundations. When applied properly, these principles help businesses achieve high levels of performance.

Let’s apply this framework in the context of a particular business.

Keep reading below to know how shifts in geopolitical dynamics and consumer sentiment and demand can negatively impact a business’ financial performance.

miles-everson-signature.png
CEO, MBO Partners
Chairman of the Advisory Board, The I Institute


 


 

After years of dominating the Chinese market, has the iPhone finally lost its shine in China?

Even though companies like Nvidia Corporation have been getting lots of attention as of late due to the artificial intelligence (AI) boom, Apple continues to be one of the most valuable companies in the world with its market capitalization of USD 3.22 trillion.

One of the keys to Apple’s success is its foothold in the Chinese market, which accounts for almost 20% of the tech giant’s total sales.

For the past several years, the tech firm has dominated the market for high-end smartphones in China.

No other company has made a device that could compete with the iPhone in both performance and status symbol.

Not even Huawei, one of China’s biggest tech firms and smartphone makers, could challenge Apple’s dominance in the Chinese market.

However, by 2024, the winds have started to shift against Apple.

Why?

The sales of iPhones in China nosedived 24% during the first six weeks of 2024, according to Counterpoint Research’s March 2024 report.

During the same period, Huawei saw sales for its smartphones surge to 64%.

In response, Apple offered unprecedented price cuts in China by as much as 23% until May 28, 2024.

Customers were able to get an iPhone 15 for as low as USD 639, leading for sales figures for the product to bounce back immediately.

Analysts believe that the price reductions were the only way for Apple to defend its market share in the Chinese market.

So… why did the tech giant suddenly face headwinds in arguably its most important market?

There are a few reasons as to why this happened…

For the past several years, diplomatic relations between China and the U.S. have soured, leading to government restrictions on trade, and more importantly, the usage of Chinese-made apps in American soil.

In response, a number of Chinese state-owned firms put restrictions on the use of foreign-made devices such as iPhones, with domestic brands being encouraged for use instead.

Another major reason for a dip in Apple’s sales is stiff competition from Chinese phone makers like Huawei, OPPOVivo, and Xiaomi.

As mentioned above, Huawei has seen a resurgence in its smartphone sales as its products have seen an uptick in consumer interest.

This increased interest was partly spurred By a growing sense of nationalism that has swept over Chinese consumers when it comes to tech products.

On the other hand, OPPO, Vivo, and Xiaomi have been able to gain customers due to aggressive pricing.

Last reason is that low consumer demand negatively impacted iPhone sales at the start of 2024, since during the first six weeks of the year, the smartphone market in China shrank by 7%.

Despite these conditions, some analysts are bullish about Apple over the long term, as they expect the tech giant to benefit from “pent-up demand” for smartphone upgrades.

Apple’s Sales Decline in China as Seen Through the Lens of RDS

According to Joel Litman and Dr. Mark L. Frigo in the book, “Driven”:

“Business environments are incredibly dynamic.”

In the case of Apple, it grappled with geopolitical tensions, increased domestic competition, and decreased consumer demand.

Due to the confluence of these factors, the tech giant is now having a hard time maintaining its dominant position in the Chinese market.

What happened to Apple is a reminder that even the most dominant firms can have a hard time generating sales when faced with a myriad of challenges.

Due to this, a company’s leadership should always be ready to respond when unexpected shifts happen, especially in an age where economies across the globe are intertwined with each other.

Besides, in this day and age, a simple change in government regulations or consumer demand and sentiment could lead a company to lose its competitive edge over the span of a few months.

If you’re looking to gain a better understanding of Return Driven Strategy and Career Driven Strategy, we highly recommend checking out “Driven” by Professor Litman and Dr. Frigo.

Click here to get your copy and learn how this framework can help you in your business strategies and ultimately, in ethically maximizing wealth for your firm.

Hope you found this week’s insights interesting and helpful.

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Stay tuned for next Tuesday’s Return Driven Strategy!

Coffee is more than just a morning pick-me-up.

Learn more about this brand’s “brewed” success in next week’s article!

Miles Everson

CEO of MBO Partners and former Global Advisory and Consulting CEO at PwC, Everson has worked with many of the world's largest and most prominent organizations, specializing in executive management. He helps companies balance growth, reduce risk, maximize return, and excel in strategic business priorities.

He is a sought-after public speaker and contributor and has been a case study for success from Harvard Business School.

Everson is a Certified Public Accountant, a member of the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants and Minnesota Society of Certified Public Accountants. He graduated from St. Cloud State University with a B.S. in Accounting.

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